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Financial ServicesInsurance Agents, Brokers & ServiceUS

ERIE INDEMNITY CO (ERIE.US) Valuation Assumptions

US · US

Latest price222.82 USD
30D-8.1%
Vs. base scenario-

What price implies

Current price implied expectations

At 222.82 USD, the model implies roughly - annual FCF growth for 10 years, with operating margin near - and terminal growth around Assumption unavailable. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR-

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Long-term operating margin-

Five-year annual median

Implied terminal growthAssumption unavailable

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption9%

Estimated from current sector rules

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
Model ranges are unavailable.
Current price reference line

Why models disagree

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFLimitedUseful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions.
Owner EarningsLimitedUseful when net income is positive and broadly tracks owner earnings.
Reverse DCFLimitedShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueLimitedUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberNot meaningfulWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not part of this M1 snapshot.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the M1 static export.
PEGNot meaningfulA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDALimitedUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFLimitedA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SNot meaningfulA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulPeer set normalization is not included in the current static export.

Model calculation reference

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price222.82 USD
Base scenario-
Vs. base scenario-
Price date2026/04/29
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-

Excluded

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

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-

-estimated share-count samples
Excluded

Owner Earnings

Uses recent net income as an owner-earnings proxy and discounts scenario growth.

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-

-estimated share-count samples
Excluded

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth-

-

-estimated share-count samples
Excluded

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

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-

-estimated share-count samples

Updated: 2026/04/29 15:27

Key financial trend

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

14 records
Revenue-
Net income559M USD
Free cash flow687M USD
Operating cash flow687M USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

No structured non-recurring items identified. Valuation currently defaults to reported figures and does not claim one-time gains have been removed.
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Quarterly and annual financial table

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 14
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/12/31Annual-559M USD-687M USD--
2024/12/31Annual-600M USD-611M USD--
2023/12/31Annual-446M USD-381M USD--
2022/12/31Annual-299M USD-366M USD--
2021/12/31Annual-298M USD-403M USD--

Data source and quality

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

FAQ

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What does the current price imply?

TickerVal uses current price, estimated shares, free cash flow, and discount assumptions to infer the operating scenario embedded in market price.

How should Reverse DCF be read?

Reverse DCF is not a forecast. It solves the FCF growth rate implied by current price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Why do model output ranges differ?

Each model relies on different financial facts such as cash flow, profit, assets, or revenue, so model fit and output ranges can differ.

Where does the financial data come from?

Pages prioritize SEC EDGAR company filings, with field-level source, filing form, and derived notes shown in Source & Quality.

Is this page an investment opinion?

No. TickerVal provides research references and transparent assumptions, not personalized investment opinions.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.